Watching the Iowa Hawkeyes play offensively, some might say they set college football back 20 years. Well, bettors aren’t exactly at odds this week. Their total for this weekend’s game against Rutgers is currently pegged at 33.5 points at BetMGM. If the total closes that low, it will be the lowest total between two FBS teams since 1995.
Both teams struggle offensively
You know a game is going to be a defensive struggle when one of the highlighted pre-kickoff clashes is between the two punters. However, when it comes to Rutgers vs. Iowa this weekend, Adam Korsak of Rutgers and Tory Taylor of Iowa are expected to star.
Iowa opened its season with a 7-3 win over South Dakota State. The Hawkeyes compiled those seven points with a field goal and two safeties. In their Week 2 loss to Iowa State, Iowa was again limited to just seven points. They took advantage of a short field due to a good punt return to score an early touchdown, but generated nothing else for the rest of the game. Last week, Iowa exploded for 27 points against Nevada, a team that allowed Incarnate Word 41 points the previous week. In three games, Iowa is averaging less than 14 points per game. Overall, their games average just 18 points.
Rutgers haven’t been as bad offensively from a point perspective, although their numbers are inflated due to a 66-point outburst against Wagner. Last week against Temple as a double-digit favorite, the Scarlet Knights managed just 16 points and didn’t score an offensive touchdown. Rutgers was very solid defensively, however, allowing just 14 points per game.
Iowa ranks third in the nation in yards allowed per game. Rutgers ranks 16th. Both have very good defensive units. The offense is another story. Iowa is averaging just 4.3 yards per play, which ranks it 109th overall. Rutgers is even worse, ranking 111th with 4.2 yards per play.
This is a historically low total
The last time we saw such a low total in college football was in 1995. Arizona and Oregon State finished with a total of 33 points, and the undercut as Arizona State picked up a 20-11 win.
Overall, in games since 1995 that have totaled 34 points or less, under bets are 3-1-1. Last year, the total for Iowa vs. Wisconsin was 34 points. He pushed as Wisconsin won 27-7.
No Iowa game has gone over 27 points this season and the Hawkeyes are 3-0 under. These teams have met twice since Rutgers joined the Big Ten. Iowa won 30-0 in 2019 and 14-7 in 2016.
Game-wise, the Hawkeyes are the 7.5-point favorites on the road in Piscataway, New Jersey.