Youmans: My best bets for college football Week 4 - VSiN Exclusive News - News

Youmans: My best bets for college football Week 4 – VSiN Exclusive News – News

At his best, Florida quarterback Anthony Richardson is a dangerous runner and dynamic playmaker. At worst, he struggles to pass with precision and directs an overly predictable one-dimensional attack.

Richardson needs to be at his best and find ways to hit some big passing plays if the Gators are going to hang on to No. 11 Tennessee on Saturday. The Volunteers are double-digit favorites in this Southeastern Conference rivalry for the first time, and it’s been a one-sided series with Florida winning 16 of the last 17 meetings. Hendon Hooker is the main reason Tennessee has its best shot in a long time to take out some of Florida’s frustrations. After transferring from Virginia Tech and taking over as the Vols’ starting quarterback last season, Hooker had 36 touchdowns with three interceptions. Tennessee runs a fast offense that has averaged 52 points in three games, though two of the opponents are weak Mid-American Conference teams Akron and Ball State. In their only real test, the Vols had a chance to beat Pittsburgh 34-27 in overtime. In Florida’s 29-26 season opener, upset then-No. 7 Utah, Richardson has thrown for 168 yards and rushed for 106. But his passing numbers this season (53.2 percent completions, zero touchdowns and four interceptions) are embarrassing, and it’s his first career start in a real game on the road. Richardson will likely rise to the occasion. The Gators’ run defense is a much bigger concern. Knoxville fans will be in a frenzy, so it will be far from easy, but my numbers have made Tennessee a 7-point favorite and that line has been inflated. I’ll take the points with Florida, which has dominated the rivalry for decades.

Choose: Florida + 11

In fact, I’m betting a few favorites this week – New Mexico State -2.5, Northwest -7, and Utah -14 – but the lines have topped key numbers, so I’ll jump to current prices. They are all dogs in this column, and I hope the results will improve considerably. Six more games for Saturday (LOCAL team in CAPS):

Wisconsin (+18.5) on OHIO STATE: The Buckeyes enjoyed the bully role, beating Arkansas State and Toledo, but needed a late rally as 17-point favorites to edge Notre Dame 21-10 in Game 1. It’s a similar game due to the Badgers’ ability to get the ball past a physical offensive line. Running backs Braelon Allen and Chez Mellusi are able to control the clock enough to keep Ohio State’s explosive offense off the beat. Prior to this trip to Columbus, Wisconsin had been the favorite in 24 straight games.

James Madison (+7) on APPALACHIANS: There’s no better situational place for an underdog this week. A week after upsetting Texas A&M, the Mountaineers stunned Troy with a last-second Hail Mary. After a wild party, there’s usually a hangover. The Dukes, who beat Middle Tennessee and Norfolk State by a combined score of 107-14, had a bye last week. James Madison, moving from FCS to the Sun Belt Conference this year, has a chance to upset dual-threat quarterback Todd Centeio (nine touchdown passes, no interceptions).

OREGON STATE (+6) on Southern Cal: Only a few Pac-12 defenses are capable of containing Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams, and the Beavers are in that group. Oregon State coach Jonathan Smith deserves respect as an underdog, as he showed last year by toppling USC and Utah. If they need to trade scores, the Beavers can do it with quarterback Chance Nolan and running back Deshaun Fenwick. This line has dropped from opener -7 due to net money on the dog.

Stanford (+ 14) on WASHINGTON: After a 41-28 loss to USC, the Cardinal had a week off to prepare for this game, so the spot is good. With quarterback Tanner McKee and running back EJ Smith, Stanford has enough offense to stay within striking distance. The Huskies hired a smart coach in Kalen DeBoer, who wisely recruited quarterback Michael Penix. Indiana’s transfer is off to a good start with 1,079 passing yards and 10 touchdowns in three wins. Upset alert? Washington was a home favorite with 12 points in a loss to Stanford two years ago.

Kansas State (+12.5) over OKLAHOMA: Chris Klieman is a better bet than an underdog, especially when he faces Oklahoma. The K-State coach is 2-1 against the Sooners, winning as a 23.5-point dog in 2019 and as a 27-point dog in 2020. As the Wildcats got angry at Tulane a week ago, the Sooners wiped out Nebraska, and that should be a rebound point for Klieman’s defense and running back Deuce Vaughn.

Arkansas (+2) on Texas A&M: Are Hogs too popular as dogs this week? It seems no one likes the Aggies, but the line barely moves. Arkansas coach Sam Pittman is 11-4 ATS in 15 games when scoring, including a 20-10 win over A&M last year. The Aggies made a quarterback change last week when Max Johnson passed for 140 yards, but the offense remained anemic and A&M trailed Miami 392-264. Arkansas is far superior offensively with quarterback KJ Jefferson and running back Raheim Sanders.

Last week: 2-4 ATS

Season: 6-12

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