Fresno State vs.  UNLV prediction, odds, line: Week 11 2022 college football picks, best bets by proven model

Fresno State vs. UNLV prediction, odds, line: Week 11 2022 college football picks, best bets by proven model

The Fresno State Bulldogs will look to keep the momentum going when they take on the UNLV Rebels in a Mountain West Conference game on Friday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The Bulldogs (5-4, 4-1 in MWC) have won four straight and are tied for the West Division lead with San Jose State. After Friday, they have just two regular season games left, against Nevada and Wyoming. On the other hand the Rebels (4-5, 2-3) are going in the opposite direction, having lost four in a row.

Kickoff is at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Bulldogs are the 9.5-point favorites in the latest Fresno State vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 60.5. Before locking everything UNLV vs. Fresno State’s pick, you must see SportsLine’s college football predictions and projection model betting tips.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of nearly $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the pattern has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed Fresno State vs. UNLV and has just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s CFB picks. Now here are the college football odds and betting lines for UNLV vs. Fresno State:

  • Fresno State vs. UNLV Spread: Bulldogs -9.5
  • Fresno State vs. Upper/lower UNLV: 60.5 points
  • Fresno State vs. Money line UNLV: Bulldogs -355, Rebels +278
  • FRES: David Perales ranks third in the nation in sacks per game (0.94)
  • UNLV: Rebels are seventh in FBS in steals (13)
  • Fresno State vs. UNLV selections: see the selections here

Why Fresno State Can Cover

Fresno State has one of the best running backs in the conference in Jordan Mims. A sixth-year senior from East Palo Alto, Calif., Mims ranks third in Mountain West in rushing yards per game (89.1) and yards per rush (4.95). On Friday, he faces an UNLV defense that has struggled to stop the rush, ranking 93rd in the nation in rush defense (163.7 yards per game).

Additionally, the Bulldogs face a Rebels offense that has struggled to score points recently. Over the past four games, UNLV has averaged just 11.3 points per game. Only New Mexico (10.5 points per game) has averaged less over that span.

Why UNLV can cover

UNLV has quarterback Doug Brumfield back in the roster. The 6-foot-5, 225-pound sophomore led the Rebels to a 4-1 start this season before being eliminated from the San Jose State game due to injury. He missed the next two games but came back last week and took every shot. He leads all Mountain West quarterbacks in passing efficiency (145.9).

Additionally, UNLV faces a Fresno State defense that doesn’t force turnovers. The Bulldogs have just 10 takeouts this season, which ranks them 10th in the conference and 100th in the nation. In contrast, the Rebels rank 3rd in the conference and 39th nationally in forced turnovers (15).

How do Fresno State vs. Choice UNLV

SportsLine’s model looks at total points, projecting that teams combine for 58 points. It also has a pick against the spread that cashes in well over 50% of the simulations. You can only see the UNLV of the model vs. Fresno State Pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Fresno State vs. UNLV? And which side covers well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of UNLV vs. Fresno State has spread to jump on it, all from the advanced model that has gone up nearly $3,000 on top-rated picks over the past six years, and check it out.

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